{"id":8600,"date":"2025-12-08T11:58:07","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T11:58:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=8600"},"modified":"2025-12-08T12:00:07","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T12:00:07","slug":"senegal-la-decouverte-dune-dette-cachee-dune-ampleur-stupefiante-plonge-le-pays-dans-une-crise-dendettement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=8600","title":{"rendered":"S\u00e9n\u00e9gal : La d\u00e9couverte d&rsquo;une \u00ab\u00a0dette cach\u00e9e d&rsquo;une ampleur stup\u00e9fiante\u00a0\u00bb plonge le pays dans une crise d&rsquo;endettement"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Une analyse approfondie des donn\u00e9es r\u00e9cemment publi\u00e9es par la Banque mondiale met en lumi\u00e8re l&rsquo;ampleur d&rsquo;une dette publique s\u00e9n\u00e9galaise massivement sous-d\u00e9clar\u00e9e, r\u00e9v\u00e9lant un scandale financier qui place le pays dans une situation de grave crise \u00e9conomique. La dette publique totale est d\u00e9sormais estim\u00e9e \u00e0 132 % du PIB fin 2024, contre seulement 80 % deux ans auparavant.<\/p>\n<p>Le mois dernier, le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international (FMI) a tir\u00e9 la sonnette d&rsquo;alarme, le\u00a0 chef de mission, Edward Gemayel d\u00e9clarant n&rsquo;avoir \u00ab jamais vu une dette cach\u00e9e d&rsquo;une telle ampleur \u00bb sur le continent africain. Selon la derni\u00e8re \u00e9valuation fait par le gouvernement , la dette publique s&rsquo;\u00e9levait \u00e0 39 milliards de dollars (119 % du PIB) fin 2024, dont 26 milliards de dollars de dette ext\u00e9rieure.<\/p>\n<p>Un article de blog percutant, r\u00e9dig\u00e9 par Martin Kessler, directeur ex\u00e9cutif du Finance for Development Lab, d\u00e9taille la m\u00e9canique de cet endettement occulte et tente de r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 la question : comment un tel niveau d&rsquo;endettement a-t-il pu passer inaper\u00e7u ?<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Plus d&rsquo;un tiers de la dette ext\u00e9rieure dissimul\u00e9<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;analyse de Martin Kessler, qui compare les diff\u00e9rentes versions des rapports IDS (Statistiques de la dette internationale) de la Banque mondiale pour d\u00e9duire les tendances de la dette occulte, confirme l&rsquo;ampleur du probl\u00e8me. La dette publique et garantie par l&rsquo;\u00c9tat (PPG) du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal en 2024 est \u00e9valu\u00e9e \u00e0 25 milliards de dollars.<\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;\u00e9cart entre la dette d\u00e9clar\u00e9e et la dette r\u00e9elle s&rsquo;acc\u00e9l\u00e8re \u00e0 partir de 2022. En 2023, alors que le pays ne d\u00e9clarait que 17 milliards de dollars de dette ext\u00e9rieure PPG \u00e0 la Banque mondiale, le montant r\u00e9el s&rsquo;av\u00e9rait sup\u00e9rieur de 5,5 milliards de dollars. La dette non d\u00e9clar\u00e9e repr\u00e9sentait 16 % du PIB, une proportion alarmante.<\/p>\n<p>Ces \u00e9carts proviennent de d\u00e9caissements consid\u00e9rables non d\u00e9clar\u00e9s, qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 sous-estim\u00e9s de 2 milliards de dollars rien qu&rsquo;en 2023 (soit 6 % du PIB). Fait notable : \u00e0 l&rsquo;exception de 2023, ces montants provenaient de \u00ab transactions cach\u00e9es \u00bb au sein de projets pourtant connus, plut\u00f4t que de projets enti\u00e8rement secrets.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Qui sont les cr\u00e9anciers impliqu\u00e9s ?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;analyse des contreparties men\u00e9e par M. Kessler met en cause plusieurs types de pr\u00eateurs. Les pr\u00eats bilat\u00e9raux expliquent la plus grande partie des montants manquants (2 milliards de dollars), suivis par les pr\u00eateurs priv\u00e9s (1,8 milliard de dollars), et, de fa\u00e7on surprenante, des pr\u00eateurs multilat\u00e9raux.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Cr\u00e9anciers bilat\u00e9raux :<\/strong> Les pr\u00eats chinois ont \u00e9t\u00e9 sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9s d&rsquo;un milliard de dollars sur la p\u00e9riode, et ceux de la France d&rsquo;environ 500 millions de dollars, concentr\u00e9s en 2020 et 2023.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Institutions multilat\u00e9rales et priv\u00e9es :<\/strong> La BID, Afreximbank et la BOAD sont les institutions ayant enregistr\u00e9 les plus importantes transactions non d\u00e9clar\u00e9es. Dans le secteur priv\u00e9, des banques fran\u00e7aises, ivoiriennes et chinoises sont \u00e9galement cit\u00e9es.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>L&rsquo;article souligne que les exercices de rapprochement entre donn\u00e9es des emprunteurs et des pr\u00eateurs, men\u00e9s par des institutions comme la Banque mondiale et le Club de Paris, n&rsquo;ont pas permis de d\u00e9tecter ces \u00e9carts significatifs.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Appel \u00e0 la transparence et \u00e0 la responsabilisation<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cette affaire illustre l&rsquo;incapacit\u00e9 totale du syst\u00e8me actuel de suivi de la dette \u00e0 valider ses propres donn\u00e9es. Martin Kessler conclut sur l&rsquo;urgence de la transparence de la dette et sur la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de mettre en place des plateformes automatis\u00e9es de rapprochement des pr\u00eats cr\u00e9anciers\/d\u00e9biteurs. La responsabilisation est jug\u00e9e essentielle, tant pour le d\u00e9biteur (le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal) que pour les cr\u00e9anciers internationaux.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Source : Article de blog r\u00e9dig\u00e9 par Martin Kessler, directeur ex\u00e9cutif du Finance for Development Lab, bas\u00e9 sur l&rsquo;exploitation des donn\u00e9es IDS2025 de la Banque mondiale.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-8601\" src=\"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/MARTIN-KESSLER-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/MARTIN-KESSLER-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/MARTIN-KESSLER-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/MARTIN-KESSLER-100x100.jpg 100w, https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/MARTIN-KESSLER.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Martin Kessler<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Une analyse approfondie des donn\u00e9es r\u00e9cemment publi\u00e9es par la Banque mondiale met en lumi\u00e8re l&rsquo;ampleur d&rsquo;une dette publique s\u00e9n\u00e9galaise massivement sous-d\u00e9clar\u00e9e, r\u00e9v\u00e9lant un scandale financier&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-actualite-economique","wpcat-23-id","wpcat-8-id"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - 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