{"id":7909,"date":"2025-03-14T16:45:37","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T16:45:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=7909"},"modified":"2025-03-14T16:46:45","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T16:46:45","slug":"pourquoi-la-bceao-maintient-ses-taux","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=7909","title":{"rendered":"Pourquoi la BCEAO maintient ses taux"},"content":{"rendered":"

En d\u00e9pit d\u2019une sensible baisse de l\u2019inflation fin 2024, la Banque centrale ouest-africaine conserve une politique mon\u00e9taire prudente. Elle se montre rassurante devant la situation du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal.<\/strong><\/p>\n

La BCEAO (Banque centrale des \u00c9tats de l\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest) a d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de maintenir son principal taux directeur, \u00e0 3,50\u00a0%. Au cours d\u2019une conf\u00e9rence de presse, son gouverneur, Jean-Claude Kassi Brou, s\u2019est montr\u00e9 plut\u00f4t rassurant quant aux perspectives \u00e9conomiques et mon\u00e9taires en Afrique de l\u2019Ouest. Il a \u00e9galement donn\u00e9 quitus<\/em> aux nouvelles autorit\u00e9s du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal apr\u00e8s les r\u00e9v\u00e9lations de la Cour des comptes s\u00e9n\u00e9galaises sur l\u2019ampleur de la dette publique.<\/p>\n

\u00ab\u00a0Les autorit\u00e9s du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal ont jou\u00e9 la transparence parfaite pour que la situation de l\u2019\u00e9valuation qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 faite soit connue de tout le monde.\u00a0\u00bb<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Le 5 mars 2025, le Comit\u00e9 de politique mon\u00e9taire (CPM) de la BCEAO a donc maintenu son principal taux directeur, auquel la Banque centrale pr\u00eate ses ressources aux banques, \u00e0 3,50\u00a0%, et fix\u00e9 le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat sur le guichet de pr\u00eat marginal \u00e0 5,50\u00a0%. Ces niveaux sont en vigueur depuis le 16 d\u00e9cembre 2023.<\/p>\n

Selon le CPM, l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique de l\u2019UEMOA (Union \u00e9conomique et mon\u00e9taire ouest-africaine) demeure \u00ab\u00a0dynamique<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb, avec une progression du PIB de 7,0\u00a0% au quatri\u00e8me trimestre 2024 apr\u00e8s 5,8\u00a0% le trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2024, la hausse du PIB r\u00e9el de l\u2019Union est estim\u00e9e \u00e0 6,2\u00a0% apr\u00e8s 5,3\u00a0% en 2023 et devrait ressortir \u00e0 6,3\u00a0% en 2025. Cette croissance est port\u00e9e par l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019\u00e9conomie, notamment les secteurs extractif, manufacturier et agricole.<\/p>\n

Le gouverneur Jean-Claude Kassi Brou n\u2019anticipe pas \u00ab\u00a0de difficult\u00e9s particuli\u00e8res li\u00e9es aux \u00e9ch\u00e9ances \u00e9lectorales<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb, notamment celles de la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, faisant observer que celles organis\u00e9es dans les autres pays de l\u2019Union, ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, n\u2019\u00ab\u00a0ont pas eu d\u2019impact n\u00e9gatif notable sur la croissance \u00e9conomique\u00a0<\/em>\u00bb.<\/p>\n

L\u2019\u00ab\u00a0activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique a b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 d\u2019un financement appropri\u00e9<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb, consid\u00e8re la BCEAO. Les cr\u00e9dits bancaires au secteur priv\u00e9 se sont accrus de 6,3\u00a0%, \u00e0 fin d\u00e9cembre 2024 contre une hausse de 5,8\u00a0% \u00e0 fin septembre 2024, en glissement annuel. Cette tendance devrait se poursuivre, juge la BCEAO qui table sur une hausse de 8,6\u00a0% des cr\u00e9dits bancaires en 2025.<\/p>\n

Le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal devra corriger le tir<\/strong><\/p>\n

Au quatri\u00e8me trimestre 2024, l\u2019inflation s\u2019est \u00e9tablie \u00e0 2,9\u00a0%, contre 4,1\u00a0% le trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. La d\u00e9tente des prix a \u00e9t\u00e9 favoris\u00e9e par la baisse des cours des produits alimentaires et \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques import\u00e9s. Les meilleures r\u00e9coltes de la campagne vivri\u00e8re 2024-2025 ont \u00e9galement contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 r\u00e9duire les pressions sur les prix. Selon les pr\u00e9visions, l\u2019inflation devrait se situer \u00e0 2,7\u00a0% en 2025 apr\u00e8s 3,5\u00a0% en 2024.<\/p>\n

Pourquoi alors ne pas diminuer les taux\u00a0? \u00ab\u00a0Les risques d\u2019une r\u00e9surgence des pressions sur les prix restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s, en raison notamment de la persistance des probl\u00e8mes s\u00e9curitaires dans la sous-r\u00e9gion, de l\u2019effet du changement climatique qui pourrait r\u00e9duire la production vivri\u00e8re ainsi que de l\u2019impact des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et commerciales sur les prix mondiaux des produits \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques et alimentaires<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb, r\u00e9pond la BCEAO.<\/p>\n

Pour autant, le constat optimiste est l\u00e0\u00a0: la situation ext\u00e9rieure de l\u2019Union s\u2019est am\u00e9lior\u00e9e sur la r\u00e9cente p\u00e9riode, \u00e0 la faveur d\u2019une hausse des prix des produits export\u00e9s, de celle des ventes d\u2019hydrocarbures \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger et de la mobilisation des ressources ext\u00e9rieures par les pays membres.<\/p>\n

\u00c9voquant le cas d\u00e9licat du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, Jean-Claude Kassi Brou estime que \u00ab\u00a0les autorit\u00e9s ont jou\u00e9 la transparence parfaite pour que la situation de l\u2019\u00e9valuation qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 faite soit connue de tout le monde<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb. Il consid\u00e8re que les autorit\u00e9s du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal \u00ab se sont engag\u00e9es \u00e0 aller de l\u2019avant avec des r\u00e9formes pour corriger ce qui n\u2019a pas bien fonctionn\u00e9. \u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n

\"Le
Le gouverneur Jean-Claude Kassi Brou et le pr\u00e9sident du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, le 4 mai 2024.<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Rappelons que la Cour des comptes du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal a r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 qu\u2019en 2023, l\u2019endettement public repr\u00e9sentait 99,67\u00a0% du PIB et d\u2019un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 12,3\u00a0%. Les analystes financiers consid\u00e8rent que l\u2019endettement devrait demeurer aux alentours de 100\u00a0% du PIB au titre de 2024, avant qu\u2019une lente d\u00e9c\u00e9l\u00e9ration ne s\u2019amorce cette ann\u00e9e et les ann\u00e9es suivantes.<\/p>\n

D\u00e8s lors, il est important, aux yeux du gouverneur, \u00ab\u00a0d\u2019avoir les informations, de les int\u00e9grer et puis de voir quelle sera l\u2019orientation que les autorit\u00e9s vont imprimer aux actions men\u00e9es dans le court terme et dans le moyen terme\u00a0<\/em>\u00bb. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, assure le gouverneur, la BCEAO a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00ab\u00a0int\u00e9gr\u00e9<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb l\u2019ensemble de ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments.<\/p>\n

Il a pr\u00e9cis\u00e9 que la BCEAO joue un r\u00f4le d\u2019accompagnement aupr\u00e8s des \u00c9tats membres, affirmant :\u00a0\u00ab Notre r\u00f4le est d\u2019accompagner les \u00c9tats et nous le faisons pour tous les pays.\u00a0\u00bb <\/em>Le gouverneur a insist\u00e9 sur le principe de solidarit\u00e9 au sein de l\u2019UEMOA, rappelant\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0Quand un pays a des difficult\u00e9s, les autres sont l\u00e0 pour compenser\u00a0\u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Le Magazine de l’Afrique<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

En d\u00e9pit d\u2019une sensible baisse de l\u2019inflation fin 2024, la Banque centrale ouest-africaine conserve une politique mon\u00e9taire prudente. 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