{"id":6195,"date":"2024-04-11T15:39:02","date_gmt":"2024-04-11T15:39:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=6195"},"modified":"2024-04-11T15:41:04","modified_gmt":"2024-04-11T15:41:04","slug":"monde-commerce-lomc-annonce-une-reprise-du-commerce-mondial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=6195","title":{"rendered":"MONDE-COMMERCE \/ L\u2019OMC annonce une reprise du commerce mondial"},"content":{"rendered":"

L\u2019Organisation mondiale du commerce (OMC) pr\u00e9voit une reprise progressive du commerce mondiale (OMC) des marchandises au rythme de 2, 6 % en 2024 et de 3,3% en 2025, apr\u00e8s une chute \u00e0 1,2% en 2023.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2018\u2019Le commerce mondial des marchandises devrait reprendre progressivement cette ann\u00e9e apr\u00e8s avoir connu une contraction en 2023, qui r\u00e9sultait des effets persistants des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie \u00e9lev\u00e9s et de l\u2019inflation\u2019\u2019, indiquent les \u00e9conomistes de l\u2019OMC dans une nouvelle pr\u00e9vision le 10 avril.<\/p>\n

Ils pr\u00e9cisent que \u2018\u2019la croissance en volume du commerce mondial des marchandises devrait \u00eatre de 2,6% en 2024 et de 3,3% en 2025, apr\u00e8s une chute \u00e0 1,2% en 2023\u2019\u2019.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u2019Les pressions inflationnistes devraient s\u2019att\u00e9nuer cette ann\u00e9e, permettant aux revenus r\u00e9els de cro\u00eetre \u00e0 nouveau \u2014 en particulier dans les \u00e9conomies avanc\u00e9es \u2014 ce qui stimulera la consommation de produits manufactur\u00e9s\u2019\u2019, annoncent-ils dans le rapport \u2018\u2019Perspectives et statistiques du commerce mondial\u201d.<\/p>\n

Reprise de la demande de biens \u00e9changeables en 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n

Selon le rapport, \u2018\u2019une reprise de la demande de biens \u00e9changeables en 2024 est d\u00e9j\u00e0 manifeste\u2019\u2019. Il rel\u00e8ve que les indices des nouvelles commandes \u00e0 l\u2019exportation montrent \u2018\u2019une am\u00e9lioration des conditions du commerce au d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e\u2019\u2019.<\/p>\n

\u201cNous progressons vers une reprise du commerce mondial, gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 des cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement r\u00e9silientes et \u00e0 un cadre commercial multilat\u00e9ral solide \u2013 qui sont cruciaux pour am\u00e9liorer les moyens de subsistance et le bien-\u00eatre\u2019\u2019, d\u00e9clare la Directrice g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de l\u2019OMC, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.<\/p>\n

Elle estime qu\u2019\u2019\u2019il est imp\u00e9ratif de limiter les risques comme les troubles g\u00e9opolitiques et la fragmentation des \u00e9changes, pour maintenir la croissance \u00e9conomique et la stabilit\u00e9.\u201d<\/p>\n

Le rapport signale que \u2018\u2019les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie \u00e9lev\u00e9s et l\u2019inflation ont continu\u00e9 de peser lourdement sur la demande de produits manufactur\u00e9s, ce qui a entra\u00een\u00e9 une baisse de 1,2% du commerce mondial des marchandises en volume en 2023\u2019\u2019. \u2018\u2019La baisse a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus importante en valeur, les exportations de marchandises ayant diminu\u00e9 de 5%, s\u2019\u00e9tant \u00e9tablies \u00e0 24 010 milliards de dollars EU\u2019\u2019, fait-il observer.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u2019L\u2019\u00e9volution du commerce des services a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus positive, les exportations de services commerciaux ayant augment\u00e9 de 9% pour atteindre 7 540 milliards de dollars EU, ce qui compensait en partie le recul du commerce des marchandises.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n

\"\"Diminution des volumes des importations<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le rapport constate une diminution des volumes des importations \u2018\u2019dans la plupart des r\u00e9gions, mais surtout en Europe, o\u00f9 elles ont fortement chut\u00e9\u2019\u2019.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u2019Les principales exceptions ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les grandes \u00e9conomies exportatrices de combustibles, dont les importations ont \u00e9t\u00e9 soutenues par de fortes recettes d\u2019exportation, car les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie sont rest\u00e9s \u00e9lev\u00e9s par rapport aux normes historiques\u2019\u2019, fait-il remarquer.<\/p>\n

Le niveau du commerce mondial \u2018\u2019est rest\u00e9 bien au-dessus\u2019\u2019 de celui d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie tout au long de 2023.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u2019Le rapport estime en outre que la croissance du PIB mondial aux taux de change du march\u00e9 restera stable dans l\u2019ensemble au cours des deux ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir, devant atteindre 2,6% en 2024 et 2,7% en 2025, apr\u00e8s \u00eatre tomb\u00e9e \u00e0 2,7% en 2023 contre 3,1% en 2022\u2019\u2019.<\/p>\n

Il avertit que \u2018\u2019les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et l\u2019incertitude des politiques pourraient limiter l\u2019ampleur de la reprise du commerce\u2019\u2019. Il fait \u00e9tat en effet de risque de \u2018\u2019fortes hausses\u2019\u2019 que pourraient conna\u00eetre les prix des produits alimentaires et de l\u2019\u00e9nergie en raison des \u00e9v\u00e9nements g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/p>\n

Il annonce une forte croissance du volume des importations en Asie (5,6%) et en Afrique (4,4%), laquelle \u2018\u2019devrait contribuer \u00e0 soutenir la demande mondiale de produits \u00e9chang\u00e9s cette ann\u00e9e\u2019\u2019.<\/p>\n

Il fait \u00e9tat d\u2019une augmentation de 9 % du commerce mondial de services commerciaux en 2023 \u2018\u2019malgr\u00e9 un recul du transport de marchandises, gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la reprise du commerce international et \u00e0 la hausse des services fournis par voie num\u00e9rique\u2019\u2019.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u2019Les exportations mondiales de services fournis par voie num\u00e9rique sont mont\u00e9es en fl\u00e8che en 2023, atteignant 4 250 milliards de dollars EU, soit une augmentation de 9,0% en glissement annuel, et repr\u00e9sentaient 13,8% des exportations mondiales de marchandises et de services. \u2018\u2019<\/p>\n

(APS)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019Organisation mondiale du commerce (OMC) pr\u00e9voit une reprise progressive du commerce mondiale (OMC) des marchandises au rythme de 2, 6 % en 2024 et de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":763,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6195","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-actualite-economique","wpcat-23-id","wpcat-8-id"],"yoast_head":"\nMONDE-COMMERCE \/ L\u2019OMC annonce une reprise du commerce mondial - challenges economiques<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=6195\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MONDE-COMMERCE \/ L\u2019OMC annonce une reprise du commerce mondial - 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