{"id":4353,"date":"2022-11-27T12:34:34","date_gmt":"2022-11-27T12:34:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=4353"},"modified":"2022-11-27T12:36:28","modified_gmt":"2022-11-27T12:36:28","slug":"senegal-un-train-de-reformes-encore-trop-lent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=4353","title":{"rendered":"S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, un train de r\u00e9formes encore trop lent"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le FMI s\u2019attend \u00e0 une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la croissance \u00e9conomique en 2023 au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, apr\u00e8s une ann\u00e9e 2022 moins performante qu\u2019esp\u00e9r\u00e9. L\u2019institution consid\u00e8re que les r\u00e9formes \u00e9conomiques doivent s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer et que le pays doit repenser certains filets sociaux qui n\u2019atteignent pas leurs objectifs.  <\/strong><\/p>\n

Une mission du FMI (Fonds mon\u00e9taire international), dirig\u00e9e par Edward Gemayel, a \u00e9mis quelques r\u00e9serves quant au rythme de r\u00e9formes structurelles men\u00e9es au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal. Toutefois, la mission note les progr\u00e8s d\u2019ensemble enregistr\u00e9s par le pays, tandis que le FMI prolonge ses accords de cr\u00e9dits avec le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, dans l\u2019attente d\u2019un nouveau programme qui devrait \u00eatre conclu prochainement.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Les discussions se poursuivront dans les prochains jours en vue de parvenir \u00e0 un accord, qui sera soumis \u00e0 l\u2019approbation de la direction g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du FMI et \u00e0 l\u2019examen du Conseil d\u2019administration du FMI pr\u00e9vu \u00e0 la mi-d\u00e9cembre<\/em> \u00bb, explique Edward Gemayel.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Il est important que le gouvernement am\u00e9liore le ciblage des subventions, commence \u00e0 les r\u00e9duire \u00e0 partir de 2023 et acc\u00e9l\u00e8re la finalisation d\u2019une feuille de route afin de les supprimer progressivement d\u2019ici \u00e0 2025. \u00bb<\/strong><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Sur le plan \u00e9conomique, le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal n\u2019\u00e9chappe pas \u00e0 la morosit\u00e9 ambiante : \u00ab La faiblesse de la demande ext\u00e9rieure, la hausse des prix des denr\u00e9es alimentaires et de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, et l\u2019appr\u00e9ciation du dollar ont eu un impact n\u00e9gatif. <\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n

D\u00e9j\u00e0, le FMI avait ajust\u00e9 en baisse sa pr\u00e9vision de croissance pour 2022, attendue d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 4,7%. L\u2019inflation, qui a atteint son plus haut niveau depuis plusieurs d\u00e9cennies, a \u00e9t\u00e9 revue \u00e0 la hausse \u00e0 8,5 %. \u00ab Les pressions inflationnistes, li\u00e9es en grande partie \u00e0 la flamb\u00e9e des prix des denr\u00e9es alimentaires, s\u2019av\u00e8rent plus larges et plus persistantes que pr\u00e9vu, entra\u00eenant de graves difficult\u00e9s pour les m\u00e9nages, notamment les plus vuln\u00e9rables <\/em>\u00bb, souligne le FMI.<\/p>\n

Qui s\u2019attend toutefois \u00e0 un rebond en 2023 (+8,3%), \u00e0 la faveur \u00ab du d\u00e9but de la production de p\u00e9trole et de gaz et en l\u2019absence d\u2019une nouvelle escalade de la guerre en Ukraine<\/em> \u00bb. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, l\u2019inflation devrait reculer sous l\u2019effet d\u2019une bonne r\u00e9colte attendue et de la baisse des prix internationaux des produits de base.<\/p>\n

Les programmes d\u2019appui du FMI sont conditionn\u00e9s \u00e0 une feuille de route en mati\u00e8re de r\u00e9formes structurelles. \u00ab La performance au titre du programme a \u00e9t\u00e9 globalement satisfaisante <\/em>\u00bb, juge d\u2019embl\u00e9e Edward Gemayel, \u00ab \u00e0 l\u2019exception du plafond de contrats de march\u00e9s publics conclus sans mise en concurrence <\/em>\u00bb.<\/p>\n

Assainissement budg\u00e9taire<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tous les objectifs quantitatifs de fin juin ont \u00e9t\u00e9 atteints. Des progr\u00e8s significatifs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9s dans la mise en \u0153uvre de l\u2019agenda des r\u00e9formes structurelles, \u00ab mais le rythme a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus lent que celui pr\u00e9vu par le programme <\/em>\u00bb.<\/p>\n

En particulier, note le FMI, le cadre op\u00e9rationnel de gestion budg\u00e9taire des recettes issues de l\u2019exploitation du p\u00e9trole et du gaz et le nouveau Code des march\u00e9s publics, qui devrait garantir des appels d\u2019offres plus ouverts et plus comp\u00e9titifs, doivent encore \u00eatre adopt\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

De plus, le Fonds note des retards dans le paiement des transferts mon\u00e9taires pour les m\u00e9nages les plus pauvres ; \u00ab ils devraient \u00eatre r\u00e9sorb\u00e9s urgemment <\/em>\u00bb. Conseil d\u2019ami : \u00ab Les autorit\u00e9s devraient opter pour une solution digitale plus efficace pour le paiement de ces transferts.<\/em> \u00bb D\u2019autre part, il est \u00ab essentiel<\/em> \u00bb, juge le FMI, de mettre en \u0153uvre les actions restantes en mati\u00e8re de lutte contre le blanchiment de capitaux et le financement du terrorisme pour sortir le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal de de la surveillance renforc\u00e9e du Groupe d\u2019action financi\u00e8re, le GAFI.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Compte tenu des marges de man\u0153uvre budg\u00e9taires limit\u00e9es, des efforts graduels d\u2019assainissement budg\u00e9taire sont n\u00e9cessaires \u00e0 moyen terme pour pr\u00e9server la viabilit\u00e9 de la dette.<\/em> \u00bb Ces efforts devraient d\u00e9buter en 2023 par une plus grande mobilisation de recettes fiscales en s\u2019appuyant sur la bonne performance de cette ann\u00e9e et une utilisation limit\u00e9e des r\u00e9serves budg\u00e9taires, ce qui permettrait au gouvernement de contenir le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire autour de 5% du PIB.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"Edward
Edward Gemayel, chef de la mission du FMI, et le Premier ministre du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, Amadou Ba.<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Le FMI regrette que les subventions \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9nergie ne soient pas davantage cibl\u00e9es, et qu\u2019en cons\u00e9quence, \u00ab elles profitent davantage aux couches les plus ais\u00e9es de la population ou gros consommateurs<\/em> \u00bb. Ces subventions deviennent de plus en plus co\u00fbteuses ; elles devraient atteindre 750 milliards de F.CFA en 2022 (1,43 milliard d\u2019euros, soit 4,4 % du PIB). En l\u2019absence de nouvelles mesures, elles s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8veraient \u00e0 800 milliards de F.CFA en 2023. \u00ab En cons\u00e9quence, il est important que le gouvernement am\u00e9liore le ciblage, commence \u00e0 les r\u00e9duire \u00e0 partir de 2023 et acc\u00e9l\u00e8re la finalisation d\u2019une feuille de route afin de les supprimer progressivement d\u2019ici \u00e0 2025. <\/em>\u00bb<\/p>\n

Le Magazine de l’Afrique<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le FMI s\u2019attend \u00e0 une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la croissance \u00e9conomique en 2023 au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, apr\u00e8s une ann\u00e9e 2022 moins performante qu\u2019esp\u00e9r\u00e9. L\u2019institution consid\u00e8re que les…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4354,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyse","wpcat-15-id"],"yoast_head":"\nS\u00e9n\u00e9gal, un train de r\u00e9formes encore trop lent - challenges economiques<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=4353\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, un train de r\u00e9formes encore trop lent - challenges economiques\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le FMI s\u2019attend \u00e0 une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la croissance \u00e9conomique en 2023 au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, apr\u00e8s une ann\u00e9e 2022 moins performante qu\u2019esp\u00e9r\u00e9. 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