{"id":2680,"date":"2022-02-20T21:44:44","date_gmt":"2022-02-20T21:44:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=2680"},"modified":"2022-02-20T21:45:13","modified_gmt":"2022-02-20T21:45:13","slug":"la-cote-divoire-sur-les-bons-rails","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=2680","title":{"rendered":"La C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire sur les bons rails"},"content":{"rendered":"

Relativement \u00e9pargn\u00e9e par les cons\u00e9quences de la crise sanitaire et par la perturbation des cha\u00eenes commerciales mondiales, la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire retrouvera son chemin habituel de croissance en 2022. Son Plan national de d\u00e9veloppement pr\u00e9pare l\u2019avenir, \u00e0 horizon 2030.<\/strong><\/p>\n

La C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire semble bien plac\u00e9e pour maintenir son excellent rythme de croissance de ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, jugent les \u00e9conomistes. Le pays pr\u00e9sente un potentiel de croissance de 7,7% l\u2019an sur la p\u00e9riode 2022-2024, calculent les experts de Attijari Global Research.<\/p>\n

Dans le m\u00eame temps, la moyenne de l\u2019Afrique subsaharienne ressort \u00e0 4,2% seulement. Au-del\u00e0 des chiffres, Abidjan vise un autre objectif, la transformation structurelle du pays \u00e0 horizon 2030.<\/p>\n

Dans cet esprit, le Plan national de d\u00e9veloppement 2021-2025 constitue une premi\u00e8re feuille de route pour atteindre ses ambitions.<\/p>\n

Soit devenir un pays \u00e0 revenu interm\u00e9diaire, o\u00f9 le PIB\/habitant d\u00e9passerait les 4 000 $ (contre 2 300 $ en 2020), o\u00f9 le taux de pauvret\u00e9 serait inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 30% et o\u00f9 l\u2019investissement priv\u00e9 constituerait un substantiel relais de croissance.<\/p>\n

\u00ab D\u2019ici l\u00e0, l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022 montre la voie<\/em> \u00bb, jugent les analystes de la banque marocaine. La croissance devrait s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer de 6,5% \u00e0 7,1%, port\u00e9e par les secteurs secondaire et tertiaire. Le Tr\u00e9sor ne l\u00e9sine pas sur les moyens, avec un budget en hausse de 17,9%. Seul point \u00e0 surveiller : le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire ressortirait \u00e0 4,7% du PIB contre 5,6% en 2021, mais s\u2019\u00e9carte toujours de la norme communautaire UEMOA de 3,0%.<\/p>\n

Les experts jugent \u00ab r\u00e9confortant<\/em> \u00bb de constater que les hypoth\u00e8ses qui sous-tendent le budget 2022 \u00ab pr\u00e9sentent un caract\u00e8re conservateur <\/em>\u00bb, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire r\u00e9aliste. Ce notamment dans les pr\u00e9visions de cours du cacao et du p\u00e9trole.<\/p>\n

Un avis confirm\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment par les \u00e9conomistes du FMI, selon qui la croissance \u00e9conomique devrait rester robuste en 2022 et au-del\u00e0. \u00ab Les perspectives \u00e0 moyen terme pourraient b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier \u00e0 la fois de la mise en \u0153uvre d\u2019un programme de r\u00e9forme solide dans le cadre du PND et de la d\u00e9couverte en 2021 de r\u00e9serves suppl\u00e9mentaires de p\u00e9trole et de gaz.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n

Bien s\u00fbr, le risque pand\u00e9mique reste pendant, bien que la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire s\u2019en soit plut\u00f4t bien tir\u00e9e ces derniers mois, de ce point de vue. Le taux de vaccination est il est vrai sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui de ses voisins.<\/p>\n

Assiduit\u00e9 budg\u00e9taire<\/strong><\/p>\n

Les services du FMI et les autorit\u00e9s ivoiriennes ont un nouveau rendez-vous en avril pour affiner les perspectives. D\u2019ici l\u00e0, les parties ont convenu que l\u2019\u00ab une des priorit\u00e9s urgentes reste la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d\u2019am\u00e9liorer la mobilisation des recettes int\u00e9rieures<\/em> \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Une meilleure collecte aiderait \u00e0 financer les d\u00e9penses productives et sociales pour soutenir une croissance forte et inclusive, tout en pr\u00e9servant la viabilit\u00e9 macro\u00e9conomique et de la dette ainsi qu\u2019en renfor\u00e7ant la r\u00e9silience.<\/p>\n

Profitant d\u2019une reprise de la croissance, les recettes sont attendues en hausse de 12,9% cette ann\u00e9e, pr\u00e9voit le PND. Qui table sur une progression comparable des recettes fiscales, \u00e0 la faveur d\u2019une bonne collecte de l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu et des taxes \u00e0 l\u2019importation. En C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, les recettes fiscales repr\u00e9sentent 92% des revenus de l\u2019\u00c9tat.<\/p>\n

Sur le plan financier, la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire \u00ab a toujours soutenu une politique d\u2019assiduit\u00e9 budg\u00e9taire qui lui a valu un niveau d\u2019endettement tout \u00e0 fait acceptable de la part de ses cr\u00e9anciers<\/em> \u00bb, note Attijari Research. Le pays a \u00e9t\u00e9 le premier, en Afrique subsaharienne, \u00e0 lever des fonds sur le march\u00e9 dans une d\u00e9marche post-Covid.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Sa politique budg\u00e9taire pourrait \u00eatre toujours qualifi\u00e9e d\u2019expansionniste ; l\u2019\u00e9volution des d\u00e9penses et recettes vient en t\u00e9moigner <\/em>\u00bb, constatent les analystes, selon qui la hausse des recettes fiscales devrait se poursuivre \u00e0 moyen terme.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire Le Plateau<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Dans le m\u00eame temps, la dette demeure sur un ratio \u00ab tout \u00e0 fait soutenable<\/em> \u00bb de 51,8% \u00e0 fin 2021 ; \u00ab en effet, l\u2019importante progression de l\u2019encours de la dette est constamment dilu\u00e9e par la forte croissance du PIB<\/em> \u00bb. Progressivement, le pays supprime des exon\u00e9rations fiscales, particuli\u00e8rement nombreuses dans les domaines des cultures des graines et de la construction. Il tente aussi de r\u00e9duire sa d\u00e9pendance aux droits de douane.<\/p>\n

Cette politique permet \u00e0 l\u2019\u00c9tat de soutenir la cr\u00e9ation d\u2019entreprise, par le rel\u00e8vement du cr\u00e9dit d\u2019imp\u00f4t (\u00e0 30%) lors de l\u2019acquisition d\u2019un brevet, \u00e0 la baisse de la fiscalit\u00e9 du patrimoine pour les personnes morales, aux taxes appliqu\u00e9es aux microentreprises, etc. Bref, \u00ab en mati\u00e8re de croissance, l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022 montre la voie <\/em>\u00bb, consid\u00e8re Attijari Global Research.<\/p>\n

Le Magazine de l’Afrique<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Relativement \u00e9pargn\u00e9e par les cons\u00e9quences de la crise sanitaire et par la perturbation des cha\u00eenes commerciales mondiales, la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire retrouvera son chemin habituel de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2681,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualite-economique","category-infos-eco","wpcat-8-id","wpcat-10-id"],"yoast_head":"\nLa C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire sur les bons rails - challenges economiques<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=2680\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire sur les bons rails - 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