{"id":1580,"date":"2021-07-25T20:29:35","date_gmt":"2021-07-25T20:29:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=1580"},"modified":"2021-07-25T20:30:30","modified_gmt":"2021-07-25T20:30:30","slug":"cote-divoire-de-solides-perspectives-de-croissance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=1580","title":{"rendered":"C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, de solides perspectives de croissance"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alassane Ouattara, le pr\u00e9sident ivoirien
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

La C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire figure parmi les pays africains les mieux not\u00e9s par Standard & Poor\u2019s. Sous l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une stabilit\u00e9 politique et sociale, le pays devrait retrouver une croissance significative et ma\u00eetriser son endettement, juge l\u2019agence de notations financi\u00e8res.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c0 la suite d\u2019une longue analyse de la situation \u00e9conomique et de l\u2019endettement de la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, l\u2019agence am\u00e9ricaine Standard & Poor\u2019s a attribu\u00e9 les notations long et court terme \u00ab\u00a0BB-\/B\u00a0\u00bb \u00e0 la dette du pays. Des notes \u00e9quivalentes \u00e0 celles de l\u2019Afrique du Sud, assorties d\u2019une perspective \u00ab\u00a0stable\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n

Les analystes attendent un rebond de 6% du PIB en 2021, avant que la croissance n\u2019atteigne une moyenne annuelle de 6,5% entre 2022 et 2024. \u00ab\u00a0Des r\u00e9formes \u00e9conomiques structurelles continues, soutenues par la mise en \u0153uvre d\u2019un troisi\u00e8me Plan national de d\u00e9veloppement (PND) quinquennal, sous-tendent de solides perspectives de croissance \u00e9conomique et de consolidation budg\u00e9taire\u00a0<\/em>\u00bb, r\u00e9sument-ils.<\/p>\n

Le financement ext\u00e9rieur et gouvernemental diminuera probablement mais restera important, compte tenu des importants besoins d\u2019investissement pour les infrastructures cl\u00e9s, et d\u2019une assiette fiscale \u00e9troite, refl\u00e9tant, entre autres facteurs, le faible niveau de revenu par habitant.<\/p>\n

Les perspectives stables sur la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire refl\u00e8tent l\u2019\u00e9quilibre d\u2019une croissance \u00e9conomique forte, soutenue par l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de l\u2019\u00e9laboration des politiques soutenant une baisse des d\u00e9ficits dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir, et le risque de d\u00e9rapage budg\u00e9taire et de tensions sociales et politiques.<\/p>\n

Depuis dix ans, la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire a entrepris \u00ab\u00a0une s\u00e9rie de r\u00e9formes favorables \u00e0 la croissance et l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de l\u2019environnement des affaires<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb. R\u00e9formes qui ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 une activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique dynamique, sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 celle des pays comparables.<\/p>\n

Si l\u2019adh\u00e9sion de la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire \u00e0 l\u2019Uemoa (Union \u00e9conomique et mon\u00e9taire ouest-africaine) limite sa flexibilit\u00e9 mon\u00e9taire, elle r\u00e9duit \u00e9galement les risques externes sp\u00e9cifiques au pays et fournit un ancrage politique solide.<\/p>\n

Au plan social, si tout risque n\u2019est pas \u00e9cart\u00e9, l\u2019agence am\u00e9ricaine attend du gouvernement qu\u2019il poursuive un dialogue continu avec l\u2019opposition pour apaiser davantage les tensions.<\/p>\n

Une \u00e9conomie plut\u00f4t diversifi\u00e9e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Face \u00e0 la crise sanitaire, qui a relativement peu touch\u00e9 le pays jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, les autorit\u00e9s mettent en \u0153uvre des mesures pour soutenir la reprise \u00e9conomique, notamment via<\/em> des fonds qui soutiennent le secteur priv\u00e9 et les PME. Elles prennent des mesures sp\u00e9cifiques pour soutenir l\u2019agriculture et utilisent un fonds d\u00e9di\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019accompagnement des entreprises qui passent du secteur informel au secteur formel, ainsi que des incitations fiscales.<\/p>\n

En ce second semestre 2021, le pays sera affect\u00e9 par diff\u00e9rents incidents conjoncturels qui p\u00e8seront sur sa production d\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et le retard pris par certains projets, mais ces facteurs n\u2019auront qu\u2019un effet marginal sur l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique car les entreprises ont su s\u2019adapter rapidement. En outre, un solide soutien financier international et une \u00e9conomie relativement diversifi\u00e9e permettent \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie de minimiser l\u2019impact \u00e9conomique n\u00e9gatif de la pand\u00e9mie.<\/p>\n

Des r\u00e9formes essentielles<\/strong><\/p>\n

C\u2019est pourquoi les analystes estiment que l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique de la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire restera \u00ab\u00a0tr\u00e8s dynamique\u00a0<\/em>\u00bb \u00e0 moyen terme, notamment gr\u00e2ce aux secteurs des services, de la construction, de l\u2019industrie et de l\u2019\u00e9nergie. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, le PND continuera de rem\u00e9dier aux goulots d\u2019\u00e9tranglement structurels de l\u2019\u00e9conomie jusqu\u2019en 2025.<\/p>\n

Le plan vise \u00e0 am\u00e9liorer l\u2019environnement des affaires et la gouvernance. \u00ab La mise en \u0153uvre sans faille de ce plan attirera les investissements priv\u00e9s, soutiendra la diversification \u00e9conomique vers des produits et services \u00e0 plus forte valeur ajout\u00e9e et stimulera la croissance.<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb Le financement attendu du plan est estim\u00e9 \u00e0 59 000 milliards de F.CFA (90 milliards d\u2019euros), dont pr\u00e8s des trois quarts proviennent du secteur priv\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Les principaux objectifs du plan sont d\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer l\u2019industrialisation et d\u2019augmenter la valeur ajout\u00e9e locale dans les exportations, de d\u00e9velopper le capital humain, de soutenir l\u2019investissement et la croissance du secteur priv\u00e9, tout en continuant \u00e0 renforcer l\u2019unit\u00e9 nationale, renforcer les actions sociales et le d\u00e9veloppement r\u00e9gional, lutter contre le changement climatique, am\u00e9liorer la gouvernance, et moderniser l\u2019\u00c9tat. En plus des r\u00e9formes, le plan comprend notamment des projets d\u2019infrastructure cl\u00e9s dans les transports, l\u2019immobilier et l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n

Sur le plan financier, concluent les experts de S&P, la C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie de relations stables avec les institutions internationales et les partenaires bilat\u00e9raux, qui lui donnent acc\u00e8s \u00e0 des financements concessionnels importants et \u00e0 un ancrage politique solide.<\/p>\n

(Le magazine de l\u2019Afrique)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alassane Ouattara, le pr\u00e9sident ivoirien La C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire figure parmi les pays africains les mieux not\u00e9s par Standard & Poor\u2019s. Sous l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une stabilit\u00e9 politique…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1581,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-analyse","wpcat-23-id","wpcat-15-id"],"yoast_head":"\nC\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, de solides perspectives de croissance - challenges economiques<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/challengeseconomiques.com\/?p=1580\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, de solides perspectives de croissance - challenges economiques\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alassane Ouattara, le pr\u00e9sident ivoirien La C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire figure parmi les pays africains les mieux not\u00e9s par Standard & Poor\u2019s. 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